Milton Friedman and Richard Feynman

Dr. Helen asks what would Milton Friedman say? She posts on Stephen Moore’s speculation in his recent book regarding what Milton Friedman would say about our nations current economic crisis and move towards socialism.

I would like to know what Richard Feynman would have to say about the CRU and global warming. Truly, I would have liked to hear his opinion before this scandal. Feynman worshipped no one and had little use for elitists. As an adult, he also had the enthusiasm and curiosity of a child.

Here’s an excerpt from his lecture to the National Science Teachers Association in 1966…

We have many studies in teaching, for example, in which people make observations, make lists, do statistics, and so on, but these do not thereby become established science, established knowledge. They are merely an imitative form of science analogous to the South Sea Islanders’ airfields–radio towers, etc., made out of wood. The islanders expect a great airplane to arrive. They even build wooden airplanes of the same shape as they see in the foreigners’ airfields around them, but strangely enough, their wood planes do not fly. The result of this pseudoscientific imitation is to produce experts, which many of you are. [But] you teachers, who are really teaching children at the bottom of the heap, can maybe doubt the experts. As a matter of fact, I can also define science another way: Science is the belief in the ignorance of experts. (emphasis added – ed)


Friedman and Feynman would be great additions to today’s world. They haven’t been gone long, but they are truly missed in this time of financial and intellectual crisis.

RIP gentlemen.

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Too old for H1N1…

Anter’s doctors at Stanford University Hospital, where he received his transplant, tell him he has a compromised immune system and “the H1N1 flu could do me in.”

He takes at least nine prescription medications daily to stay alive.

“But when I try to get a shot, I’m told I’m too old ” he said as he sat in the study of his Peccole Ranch home.

“I feel that they see me and other older people as garbage and are just waiting for the trucks to come pick us up,” Anter said.


Lot’s more health care rationing to come. Heck, no matter what we do, there’s probably a lot more of this to come. Can’t help but think it will be a log worse with Obamacare.

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Time after time…

Well actually, Botch after Botch.

And based on stuff like this, politicians are going to blow up our economy and lower our standard of living to “fix” the climate?

Are they insane?

Not a chance. Don’t dismiss the Climategate folks. It’s still “proven” science in their eyes.

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Open Source climate change is coming part II

More trouble in climate change paradise

Apparently the original data is no longer available…

In a statement on its website, the CRU said: “We do not hold the original raw data but only the value-added (quality controlled and homogenised) data.”


You never throw away the original data. Never ever, and we’re letting these jokers heavily influence climate change policy?

Roger Pielke at the University of Colorado comments…

Roger Pielke, professor of environmental studies at Colorado University, discovered data had been lost when he asked for original records. “The CRU is basically saying, ‘Trust us’. So much for settling questions and resolving debates with science,” he said.


Well, I’ll leave it to others to trust them.

Update 11/29 @ 23:35

Ed Morrissey asks a simple question Climategate question

When would scientists expecting the world to take them seriously throw out the raw data on which their conclusions are based?

Update 11/30 @ 00:13

Paul Mirengoff at Powerline echoes Ed’s question. He concludes…

One need not be a hard-core global warming skeptic to question whether we should alter the way we live in response to predictions based on findings that cannot be checked because the raw data was intentionally destroyed by the outfit that made the findings.<

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How is Obama’s diplomacy working out?

Iran ‘planning 10 new uranium enrichment sites’

I know, it’s all Bush’s fault.

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Open Source climate change is coming

Leading British scientists at the University of East Anglia, who were accused of manipulating climate change data – dubbed Climategate – have agreed to publish their figures in full.


More here.

It’s about time.

And there’s a David vs. Goliath story here, which one would believe would please liberals, but in this case he’s on the wrong side…

A grandfather with a training in electrical engineering dating back more than 40 years emerged from the leaked emails as a leading climate sceptic trying to bring down the scientific establishment on global warming.

David Holland, who describes himself as a David taking on the Goliath that is the prevailing scientific consensus, is seeking prosecutions against some of Britain’s most eminent academics for allegedly holding back information in breach of disclosure laws.

I fully agree with this comment from Mr. Holland…

He added: “These guys called climate scientists have not done any more physics or chemistry than I did. A lifetime in engineering gives you a very good antenna. It also cures people of any self belief they cannot be wrong. You clear up a lot of messes during a lifetime in engineering. I could be wrong on global warming – I know that – but the guys on the other side don’t believe they can ever be wrong.

(emphasis added – ed)

Let the sun shine in I say.

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Making a case for “Open Source” climate change

The Volokh Conspiracy makes a case for open sourcing the climate change data.

As I understand, and please correct me if I’m wrong, but the CRU researchers apparently refused to share the underlying raw data that was the basis of their research. Is that so? If so, is there a scientifically acceptable justification for this refusal, especially when the topic is as important as this one?

My inclination would be to say that data should nearly always be shared. If you share your data, this lets others check the conclusions you draw from the data, as well as verifying the accuracy of the data against other available sources. They might disprove your arguments, or lead you to improve your arguments, or, if they reproduce your results, they might help prove the validity of your arguments. But in either case, science progresses better, and the decisions made based on the science are more reliable, than if you keep the data secret.

Why didn’t I think of that?

Argument buttressed by this comment which includes this fascinating tidbit…

You didn’t ask this question, but the nearly universal experience among scientists is that when someone claims that a particular theory is “settled science”, it is always for a political purpose and to discourage independent investigation.

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Alleged global warming

Newmark’s Door provides a bakers dozen of links that examine and analyze the hacked CRU papers.

Also, no surpise to find an article titled NCAR: Researchers’ leaked e-mails don’t undermine climate science in the Boulder Daily Camera.

Controversial e-mails written by well-respected Boulder climate scientists that were posted online last week do not cast doubt on the researchers’ peer-reviewed papers on global warming, according to the National Center for Atmospheric Research.


In a fairly balanced article, the Daily Camera neglects to mention e-mails that point towards the corruption of the peer review process.

Which brings me back Newmark’s Door and this quotation in his posting where a statistician is analyzing the original (and now debunked) hockey stick graph…

A noted statistician, after reviewing the hockey stick paper and ensuing controversy, stated: “I am baffled by the claim that the incorrect method doesn’t matter because the answer is correct anyway. Method Wrong + Answer Correct = Bad Science.” (p. 10)


Of course, it was only a few weeks a go that Clay Evans editorialized about global warming in the Daily Camera. Now when the statisticians agree with the global warming side, their evidence is apparently damning…

First, the cooling myth: The Associated Press administered a blind test to four independent statisticians, using global temperature data but not disclosing what the numbers represented. Asked to look for trends, the stat guys were unanimous: “The experts found no true temperature declines over time,” despite the fact that 1998 was a record temperature year.


The key question that inquiring minds would like answered, especially now, is the validity/integrity of the data set. Who can blame them when the computer code contains numerous comments about adjusting the data? For example…

Ulp! I am seriously close to giving up, again. The history of this is so complex that I can’t get far enough into it before by head hurts and I have to stop. Each parameter has a tortuous history of manual and semi-automated interventions that I simply cannot just go back to early versions and run the update prog. I could be throwing away all kinds of corrections – to lat/lons, to WMOs (yes!), and more. So what the hell can I do about all these duplicate stations?…


The global warming activists and especially the CRU defenders probably wish this problem will go away. There’s a lot more explaining to do and I’ll predict that hanging all your defense on the “peer reviewed publishing makes it right” argument is a losing one.

I repeat my call for an Open Source model for all future global warming investigation.

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Gold over $1180 and holding


More graphs at Kitco.com.

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The science is very clear

Ed Begley echoes the “science is proven” global warming mantra. Sounds awfully familiar!

And the yahoo’s at CRU can’t even replicate their data.

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CBS reports on CRU hack.leak

Declan McCullagh examines the CRU leaked documents. He examine in depth the efforts of “Harry the programmer” who is stuck with the un-envious task of trying to fix a temperature database. It’s great reading so make the visit.

What I like most is Decan’s conclusion which matches my Open Source posting of yesterday

The irony of this situation is that most of us expect science to be conducted in the open, without unpublished secret data, hidden agendas, and computer programs of dubious reliability. East Anglia’s Climatic Research Unit might have avoided this snafu by publicly disclosing as much as possible at every step of the way.

p/p

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Presidential approval index

More here.

Caveat…

It is important to remember that the Rasmussen Reports job approval ratings are based upon a sample of likely voters. Some other firms base their approval ratings on samples of all adults. President Obama’s numbers are always several points higher in a poll of adults rather than likely voters. That’s because some of the President’s most enthusiastic supporters, such as young adults, are less likely to turn out to vote.

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From Political Compass to Climate Compass

and where the Daily Camera editorial staff fits in…

Idea “stolen” from the Bishop Hill blog, specifically here.

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How to fix the global warming scandal…

It’s time for the CRU and all their followers to meet the Open Source community. Of course at the present time, Open Source is primarily a software concept. The global warming crowd needs to come up with a similar construct. Yesterday couldn’t be soon enough.

The actions of these so called jokers (err global warming climate scientists) borders on criminality.

Of course, if my open source suggestion is taken seriously, more than experts would be involved in global warming. According to the mantra in the local paper, we need to leave it to the experts.

NOT

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The CRU hack

Richard Fernandez at PJM puts the CRU hack into context with the overall global warming war. I find his conclusion interesting…

Politics is in many ways the bloodless — and sometimes not so bloodless — equivalent of war. Clausewitz believed politics and war fed into each other. It was an ongoing process, not a single event. That meant that actors were free to act on the flow of conflict as it went along. The hacking incident at the CRU will not end the Global Warming War, but it was part of it. The drive to control and tax human behavior will probably continue unabated. But so will resistance to it.

James Delingpole is probably also right in asserting that however dismissive the Global Warmists may publicly be of the CRU hack, the smoke of doubt has entered the temple. Even the European public is beginning to suspect that AGW really means “All Your Gold Belong to We”. The Telegraph’s Delingpole says, “if you own any shares in alternative energy companies I should start dumping them NOW.” Well maybe not now, but you might want to start thinking about diversifying your Green portfolio. Nuclear power, anybody?

(emphasis added – ed)

Also interesting is it appears the hack may have been an “inside job”!

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Only 38% favor health care reform

Rasmussen reports

Just 38% of voters now favor the health care plan proposed by President Obama and congressional Democrats. That’s the lowest level of support measured for the plan in nearly two dozen tracking polls conducted since June.


Good news.

What do you do with the unwashed masses that aren’t true believers? Probably vote before they vote you out of office! Better hurry up.

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Charlie Martin at PJM comments on the stolen e-mails from the University of East Anglia Climate Research Unit. With the caveat that the e-mails are authentic, he claims “…they truly are incendiary. They appear to reveal not one, not two, but three real scandals, of increasing importance.”

The emails suggest the authors co-operated covertly to ensure that only papers favorable to CO2-forced AGW were published, and that editors and journals publishing contrary papers were punished. They also attempted to “discipline” scientists and journalists who published skeptical information

The emails suggest that the authors manipulated and “massaged” the data to strengthen the case in favor of unprecedented CO2-forced AGW, and to suppress their own data if it called AGW into question.

The emails suggest that the authors co-operated (perhaps the word is “conspired”) to prevent data from being made available to other researchers through either data archiving requests or through the Freedom of Information Acts of both the U.S. and the UK.

The three scandals are:

•First, a real attempt by a small group of scientists to subvert the peer-review process and suppress dissenting voices. (For another look at this, by a respected climate scientist who was one of the targets, see these posts on Roger Pielke Sr.’s blog.) This is at best massively unethical.

•Second, a willingness to manipulate the data to make a political case. This is certainly misconduct and possibly scientific fraud. This, if it proves true, should make these scientists subject to strong disciplinary action, even termination of their tenured positions.

•Third, what gives every appearance of an actual conspiracy to prevent data from being released as required by the Freedom of Information Acts in the US and UK. If this is proven true, that is a federal crime.

Martin concludes…

Until these questions are answered, the various attempts to “deal with the climate change crisis” have no acceptable scientific basis.

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Rejoice in the name of scarcity

George Will comments on how many times the world should have run out of oil. He concludes…

Today, there is a name for the political doctrine that rejoices in scarcity of everything except government. The name is environmentalism.

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Global warming a settled science (LOL!)

Oh my, it will be interesting to see the wagons get circled on this one. The e-mails hacked from the University of East Anglia’s Hadley Climatic Research Centre tell an interesting story. A quick review of the analysis already done show that there was a lot more politics than science going on, and of the science going on, some of it was very questionable indeed.

How will the legacy media circle the wagons on this one? How about our local media?

Let’s review what Clay Evans said in a recent Daily Camera global warming editorial titled Global warming? We better believe it

Certainty is indeed hard to come by. But anyone who chooses to “believe” that global warming is, as one U.S. Senator has put it, a “hoax,” or at least that its dangers have been overblown, must also accept that they stand against science.

They must also accept that the consequences of their beliefs, if they hold sway, are nothing less than one selfish generation bequeathing a brutal future and disaster-ridden planet upon its children and (if there are any) grandchildren.


And it’s now becoming abundantly clear that the GW leadership were playing politics and religion and not science.

For example, this e-mail snippit is one of many examined by Ed Morrissey over at Hot Air…

From: Kevin Trenberth
To: Michael Mann
Subject: Re: BBC U-turn on climate
Date: Mon, 12 Oct 2009 08:57:37 -0600
Cc: Stephen H Schneider , Myles Allen , peter stott , “Philip D. Jones” , Benjamin Santer , Tom Wigley , Thomas R Karl , Gavin Schmidt , James Hansen , Michael Oppenheimer
Hi all
Well I have my own article on where the heck is global warming ? We are asking that here in Boulder where we have broken records the past two days for the coldest days on record. We had 4 inches of snow. The high the last 2 days was below 30F and the normal is 69F, and it smashed the previous records for these days by 10F. The low was about 18F and also a record low, well below the previous record low.
This is January weather (see the Rockies baseball playoff game was canceled on saturday and then played last night in below freezing weather).
Trenberth, K. E., 2009: An imperative for climate change planning: tracking Earth’s global energy. Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability, 1, 19-27, doi:10.1016/j.cosust.2009.06.001. [1][PDF] (A PDF of the published version can be obtained from the author.)
***
The fact is that we can’t account for the lack of warming at the moment and it is a travesty that we can’t. The CERES data published in the August BAMS 09 supplement on 2008 shows there should be even more warming: but the data are surely wrong. Our observing system is inadequate.***

But the data are surely wrong! You really can’t make this stuff up. I suppose it’s possible the data is wrong, and I’m sure that Clay will track this down, but the problem is the attitude.

Morrisey expounds…

Do scientists use data to test theories, or do they use theories to test data? Scientists will claim the former, but here we have scientists who cling to the theory so tightly that they reject the data. That’s not science; it’s religious belief.

(bold is mine – ed)That sure does sound familiar, see my critical posting of Clay’s editorial titled “Sermon on Global Warming“.

I look forward to a line of defense similar to the fact that since we aren’t climate experts we can’t possibly understand the intent of the e-mails. How high of a pedestal do these scientists deserve to be on?

Here are some other links to follow for inquiring minds:

Do hacked e-mails show global-warming fraud?

The Alarmists Do “Science”: A Case Study (recommend). Which concludes:

On the contrary, the conclusion an observer is likely to draw from the CRU archive is that the climate alarmists are making up the science as they go along and are fitting facts to reach a predetermined conclusion rather than objectively seeking after truth. What they are doing is politics, not science. When I was in law school, this story was told about accountants: A CEO is going to hire a new accountant and summons a series of candidates. He asks each applicant, “What is two plus two?” The first two candidates answer, “Four.” They don’t get the job. The third responds, “What do you want it to be?” He gets hired. The climate alarmists’ attitude toward data appears to me much the same as that fictional accountant’s attitude toward arithmetic.

When In Doubt, Delete

Lots of information at the Bishop Hill blog. This posting in particular has one or two sentence summary’s of various e-mails with links to the actual e-mails.

Posted in Boulder is stoopid, Culture of Corruption, global warming, idiocy, legacy media, you can't make this stuff up | Leave a comment

Gold tops $1160


More at kitco.com.

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