Obamacare: A 50/50 shot at best

What happens if Obamacare fails.

What would it take to get Obamacare semi-operational? The Web site would have to be working very well, so well that the frustration factor is eliminated entirely. The insurance companies would have had to figure out how to keep the canceled insurance policy holders on their 2013 policies to as to quell the cancellation uprising. Millions of people would need to get past sticker shock and decide to purchase insurance (not just put it in their “cart,” as some portion of the 106,000 have done). And the back-end systems would have to work well so their data gets to insurers properly and without any security lapses (which would cause further panic). But how likely is all that? I think we can agree it is at the very best a 50-50 shot.

Now soak that in for a moment. It is a coin flip, at best, for the president as to whether his signature achievement, his only achievement, will fail. It will be repealed in essence by a popular referendum: The mass refusal of people to go along with Obama’s top-down, compulsory system that was set to transform a sixth of the economy. That possibility should traumatize and probably is traumatizing the White House. Same goes for any Democratic lawmaker who spent time thinking this through. The political implications of this are almost too enormous to calculate.

Beware the Irish Democracy, coming to a country near you.

Obama the Amateur

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