The global warming advocates are having to reload their ammunition for this years hurricane season. Now they are hoping the real hurricane season, that begins in August will show up. Perhaps yes, perhaps no. Unlike the global warming advocates, I can’t predict the future.
This article on the falling SST (Sea Surface Temperatures) in the Atlantic reminds us that it pays to be humble when forecasting.
Forecasting the effects of climate change is a risky business. Predictions of another near-record hurricane season in 2006 might have seemed like a pretty good bet to those who have great faith in climate models and their understanding of global warming. But Mother Nature always seems to find a way to demonstrate to mankind that we don’t understand as much as we think we do, and that the effect of mankind on the climate system might well be buried in the ‘noise’ of natural variability.
